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When Will Sports Stadiums be Back to Normal (in the US)?

It's December 11th, 9 months into the pandemic, and the amount of people getting the virus is more than ever in the US. While we have gotten a better handle on what Covid is and how to prevent its spread, our nation is still spreading it far and wide. Since we have good contact tracing and strict protocols can be put in places for businesses, sports are still in full swing. All of the pro leagues will go ahead as scheduled this upcoming season, along with most college sports. The one glaring thing missing, is fans in the stands. Stadiums are still empty outside of a few states (and individual franchises) that are allowing there to be limited fan capacity. So when do I think that is going to be?

Well, the answer probably revolves around when the majority of the US population is able to receive a vaccination for Covid. In my assessment, that is not looking like it's going to be for at least 6 to 9 months. Though it seems the approval of the first few vaccines is imminent, the first tens of millions of vaccines will go to essential workers and those at high risk. For there to be normalcy, scientists have said that 60% to 70% of the entire population will have to get vaccinated, so in the US that would equate to 210 to 245 million people. While I am optimistic, I believe that there will be plenty of manufacturing and supply chain challenges to be able to get to that point within 9 months.

With that said, I think we are looking at next September or October for resuming having fans in person. Still, it will be up to local governments to clear this to happen, which may tke longer in some places than others. We will have a much clearer picture of everything once the vaccine rollouts begin, but until then it's a pure guessing game. 

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